30 SECONDS UNDER TOKYO: SUBWAY GAS ATTACK SHOWS FUTILITY, FOLLY OF TRYING TO ‘RID THE WORLD OF CHEMICAL WEAPONS’

(Washington, D.C.): This morning’s chemical weapons
attack against rush hour commuters in the Tokyo subway system
offers chilling affirmation of a number of truths that should be
self-evident:

  • Chemical weapons (CW) like Sarin — the nerve
    agent believed to have been used to kill at least six,
    injure thousands of others and thoroughly disrupt Tokyo’s
    subway system and business day — can be manufactured
    by virtually anyone
    . No major facility is required
    for such production. It takes little in the way of
    technical skills or specialized equipment to produce
    sufficient quantities of such agents to pose a menace to
    civil societies or even to degrade the performance of
    military organizations prepared for chemical attacks. A
    terrorist organization — to say nothing of a closed,
    totalitarian state — can easily conceal chemical weapons
    production and manufacturing facilities from even the
    most intrusive
    forms of on-site inspection.
  • It is, consequently, absurd to believe that the
    Chemical Weapons Convention (CWC) now awaiting Senate
    advice and consent will, as advertised, “rid the
    world of chemical weapons.”
    What it will do,
    rather, is eliminate such weapons from the arsenals of
    law-abiding nations like the United States. Largely
    unaffected will be the covert CW production capability
    and stockpiles retained by those willing to flout
    “international norms” where they believe
    military, political and/or strategic benefits can be
    obtained by doing so.
  • Worse yet, the mere fact that a global ban on chemical
    weapons is supposed to be in place around the world can
    leave those who may be victimized by such illicit
    stockpiles more vulnerable to CW attack.
    For
    example, in the years since the 1972 Biological Weapons
    Convention (BWC) entered into force — ostensibly banning
    biological weapons from the face of the earth — the
    United States investment in means to counter, or even
    detect, such weapons has essentially evaporated. Even
    though there is now abundant evidence that the BWC is
    being widely flouted, U.S. capabilities to defend its
    populace against this form of warfare are appallingly
    limited. The Nation’s capacity to deal with chemical
    attack on non-military targets is already inadequate; it
    can only deteriorate further if the threat of this form
    of warfare is mistakenly assumed to have been eliminated,
    or even attenuated, by arms control.

The Bottom Line

Today’s horrifying events in Tokyo give the U.S.
Senate further reason to take a hard look at the premises and
likely implications of the unverifiable, costly and ineffectual
Chemical Weapons Convention. Such a rigorous examination will
make clear not only the unavoidable defects in this sort of
utopian arms control agreement. It should also establish
forcefully that — in the area of chemical warfare, as in others
(notably, the threat posed by ballistic missiles that might
deliver chemical, biological or nuclear weapons to the United
States) — every effort should be made to enhance the United
States’ deterrence of such threats and its ability to
defend against them if deterrence should fail.

Center for Security Policy

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