Lessons of the China-India blackout war

Earth at night, view of city lights showing human activity in India, China, South Korea and Japan from space. World dark map on global satellite photo. Elements of this image furnished by NASA.

Originally published by The Washington Times

The future usually arrives before anyone is ready for it, especially in warfare.

China apparently blacked-out Mumbai, India, by cyber-attack — credibly threatening that Beijing could plunge all India into darkness through cyber warfare. Experts warn national electric grids are a technological Achilles heel.

The Mumbai blackout could be one of those “Monitor versus Merrimack” moments in military history when a revolutionary new way of warfare suddenly becomes recognizable, even to the dullest.

New military technologies that can change everything are often laughingly dismissed by establishments too busy planning for “business as usual.”

From machine guns at the Somme (1916), panzer divisions in France (1940) and (Japanese) carrier aviation at Pearl Harbor (1941), nations learned the hard way. Obsolete thinking prevails until someone gets hammered, usually by an aggressor.

The Mumbai cyber-blackout, like Russia’s annual cyber-blackouts of Ukraine, and blackouts in Mexico (2013), Yemen (2014) and Pakistan (2015) caused by terrorist sabotage of electric grids, are a new category of warfare.

These “blackout wars” foreshadow an existential threat that could end our civilization and kill millions of Americans.

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Peter Pry
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