Drones are winning the war in Ethiopia

The war in Ethiopia between the left wing Tigray People’s Liberation Front army (TPLF) and the world-recognized democratic government of Ethiopia has entered a new, largely unexpected phase thanks to drones.

Prior to the extensive use of drones, the TPLF (which now wants to be known as the Tigray Defense Force) had advanced far into the most sensitive Ethiopian territory, within around 130 miles from Ethiopia’s capital, Addis Ababa, triggering a state of emergency.

Then something profound happened: the Ethiopian Air Force began using drones to attack the TPLF’s armored personnel carriers, artillery emplacements, and troop transports. At the same time, Ethiopia massively mobilized, calling in militias from around the country to fight the TPLF.

Now the TPLF is in a major withdrawal, as it faced huge casualties and the chance its army could be cut in half by advancing Ethiopian troops. So far at least, the withdrawal has been relatively peaceful (only one known drone strike was carried out, perhaps to hurry along the TPLF pullback). But as the TPLF convoys must operate on roadways and are exposed, one cannot rule out further strikes by the Ethiopian Air Force that could now cause great damage.

The drones are coming from China, Iran and Turkey. At least one top analyst in Pakistan, Sajid Nadeem suspects the Turkish drones, TB-2 type, the same that were used very effectively in the Nagorno-Karabakh war, are operated by Turkish “experts” flown into Ethiopia.

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